What Who is Dying from the Coronavirus Tells Us

Last Updated on May 7, 2022 by Shaun Snapp

Executive Summary

  • Coronavirus’ mortality differs enormously by age and fitness level of the victim.
  • We cover the likely reason for this.

Introduction

The media has given an enormous amount of coverage of the Coronavirus. However, they have tended to cover the virus in a very sensational and, therefore, non-analytical way.

Let us get into the data on the mortality of the Coronavirus to see what it tells us.

Our References for This Article

If you want to see our references for this article and related Brightwork articles, visit this link.

Mortality by Age

The following table is from World O Meters, which has become the goto site for Coronavirus statistics.


Notice the dramatically increasing mortality by age.

If we look at people in the 70 to 79-year-old category, they have mortality from Coronavirus that is 40 times higher than someone in the 30 to 39-year-old category. People above 80 have a mortality rate that is 74 times higher than those in the 30 to 39-year-old category. This tells us that the vast majority of deaths from Coronavirus have been the aged. This tells me that many, if not perhaps, most of the people dying from Coronavirus are really just having their deaths pulled forward a few years.

Major media outlets have largely argued against this analysis, but pointing to anecdotes of people who are young and “perfectly healthy” who have died.

  • First, the anecdotes do not tell us the overall trend.
  • Second, as the victims who were declared as perfectly healthy were not given a full medical exam before falling ill, we don’t really know what underlying issues they had that were unpublished.

No Underlying Symptoms in Some of the Coronavirus Deaths?

The article titled Coronavirus Ravages 7 Members of a Single Family, Killing 4, in the New York Times, was very widely read. And it describes exactly what the title says about how the Fusco family of New Jersey had a very high mortality rate from the virus.

\However, the following quotation was found in the article.

the state’s health commissioner, Judith M. Persichilli, has said Ms. Fusco-Jackson had no underlying health problems.

Ms. Paradiso Fodera said the woman’s younger siblings were also in good health before contracting the virus.

“They’re young and they don’t have any underlying conditions,” Ms. Paradiso Fodera said.

It was unclear whether Mrs. Fusco, a heavyset woman, had underlying health problems.

The term “heavyset” is a PC term for fat or overweight. Whose feelings are we trying to save here?

Ms. Fusco’s?

Well, she is dead. Perhaps it saves the feelings of her family to not have their recently deceased mother as overweight or obese. However, “heavyset” is not a medical term. Big-boned or other euphemisms also don’t belong in an article about a medical condition.

Then we can review a picture taken of the family.

Ms. Fusco is wearing the grey dress. 

According to the New York Times…

“They’re young and they don’t have any underlying conditions.”

However, nearly everyone in this photo is overweight, and some are quite substantially overweight.

Any person at this body mass has underlying health issues. This is not fat-shaming, I don’t care what the Fusco family decided to weight, but the analysis that the Fusco family were normal healthy individuals is just not accurate. Furthermore, the Fusco’s had a high mortality rate from Coronavirus, isn’t it likely that their physical condition was a very likely reason for this? Yet, the New York Times presents this as some great mystery.

This plays into the storyline that the media has largely been running with, that

“Anyone can die from Coronavirus.”

This is supposed to be some type of wisdom. The current idea of “wisdom” is to say that any factor affects all groups. This is a view in entire opposition to data analysis. One is allowed to point out discrepancies, but only if those discrepancies fit within some PC paradigm. For example, Coronavirus also has a higher mortality with African Americans.

Major media was willing to cover the racial differences in Coronavirus deaths, even though the ratio only roughly 2x higher for African Americans versus other races. 

Major media was far less interested in covering the age differences in the Coronavirus, even though the proportion is (as we covered) 40x to 76x, which is far higher than the African American differences of 2x.

The actual discrepancy seems to be of little importance to major media.

Instead, they notice some discrepancies that are “catnip” to them and then ignore or underreport far higher discrepancies. This reporting, for example, extends to the reporting of the percentage of homeless that are female. (which has been reported in some articles be 1 out of 4). The articles on this topic have tended to ignore the 3 out of 4 men that are homeless and ask…

“How can we reduce the homelessness with women!”

So yes, perhaps anyone can die from the Coronavirus, but not with anywhere near equal probability. As the table shows.

Understanding The Relationship Between Mortality and Underlying Conditions

The topic of cardiovascular fitness and being able to fight Coronavirus is found in another table from the World O Meter.

Notice the #1 most important pre-existing condition is cardiovascular disease. This is, I think, because of the ability of the body to bring in oxygen and remove waste to fight the virus. If one’s cardiovascular health is low, one is, in general, more susceptible to infection. This is why heavy people have higher mortality after surgery. This is not entirely a single factor dependency.

People can be heavy or overweight, but still, be relatively active. And active person still has a high lung capacity and cardiovascular condition, even if they are overweight. Research indicates that activity is often as important if not more important than one’s body mass measurement (something generally resisted by the medical community).

However, physical inactivity and obesity have a high correlation. There is no possible way that many of the people in this photo of the Fusco family were overweight, but were physically active. This means that many of the members of the Fusco family could not rely on either a more normal body weight, nor overweight but physically active to increase their body function to fight after they contracted the Coronavirus.

The Influence of Cardiovascular Fitness on Fighting the Coronavirus

If a compromised cardiovascular system made one more susceptible to dying from the Coronavirus, it stands to reason that good cardiovascular fitness would do the opposite.

The best defense (that is after one has been infected with the Coronavirus, not keeping from being infected) is being in good physical condition. Closing the gyms reduces the transmission, but it has the paradoxical effect of lowering fitness, reducing one’s ability to fight Corona once or if one has contracted the virus.

The Influence of Lung Health on Fighting the Coronavirus

The #3 most important pre-existing condition that predicts mortality in chronic respiratory disease. This also makes sense as Coronvirus primarily attacks the lungs — but as doctors learn more about the virus, it seems to attack other organs as well, perhaps even the brain.

Coronavirus is closely related to a number of well-known viruses, but it is too new to have been extensively mapped and understood. 

But the most acute organ the virus invades is the lungs.

If one has lower lung capacity (which also, a person with low cardiovascular fitness will naturally have), then this naturally means the infected individual has less spare lung capacity and is more susceptible to death as their limited lung capacity fills with fluid.

More Research on Who is Impacted by Covid

There was no correlation between the stringency of lockdowns on the number of COVID strong positive correlation With COVID dashboard However, seeing with the portal portion of the population. That is a level of the sedentary behavior in the population in other words results are perfectly in line with the earlier study. The other things that were found to correlate positively With COVID mortality were aged proportion of the population with cardiovascular disease and the proportion of the population with cancer. First lockdowns appear to be completely ineffective.

Second, there is a strong link between obesity and risk of dying from COVID. We can’t say that obesity is itself itself increases risk of dying. People who are obese may have so many different biological systems malfunctioning. At the same time that it’s impossible to say whether obesity is the cause of increased risk of death or just a marker of poor health in general. Regardless, obesity is the strongest COVID risk factor that we can do something about and even if it isn’t the obesity itself that kills people, when we fix the obesity we also fix the many derangements in metabolism and immune function that go along with it. – Why Most of What You Know About Covid is Wrong

This is expanded on in the following quotation.

“We in the U.S. have not always identified obesity as a disease, and some people think it’s a lifestyle choice. But it’s not,” said Dr. Matthew Hutter, director of the Weight Center at Massachusetts General Hospital and president of the American Society for Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery. “It makes people sick, and we’re realizing that now.”

Obesity’s link to chronic diseases is well known, but the experience with H1N1 influenza in 2009 revealed that people with obesity are also more vulnerable to infectious diseases. Studies have also shown that they do not get the same protection from influenza vaccinations that others do. – NYT

This article was originally published in April of 2020. However, in October of 2021, it was updated with the following information.

Covid Versus Fat Acceptance?

There has been a strong body or fat acceptance movement. The following book is a good example of this.

And this book.

The fat or body acceptance movement proposes that weight is “just a number” and that fat people can be as healthy as normal weight people. A review on one of these books illustrates their ideas. 

This book is required reading for parents who want to help prevent eating disorders and help their kids recover from an eating disorder. The “war against obesity” has caused countless casualties when it comes to eating disorders, and this book does an excellent job of removing the stigma around weight and sharing important facts about health independent of weight. I am a big fan of “Health at Every Size,” and love the new research and added focus on social justice and environmental factors of health in “Body Respect.” In addition to improving our own health and that of our families using HAES, we must find ways to influence social systems and government policy in order to build a truly healthy society for everyone. Linda Bacon’s work is critically important as we put one foot in front of the other and do our best to overcome the devastating impacts of fatphobia and healthism. – Amazon

This video discusses how the overweight must deal with social stigmas. I am not proposing stigmatizing the overweight, but the proposal that one can be significantly overweight and healthy is not correct. 

Why Mexico Has High Mortality from Covid

This article proposes that high levels of obesity and diabetes should not be blamed for Mexico’s high mortality rate from coronavirus.

On July 23, 2020 Dr. Lopez-Gatell advised the public that in addition the pandemic, Mexico is also dealing with “national health emergencies” related to diabetes and obesity. The tweet pinned to the top of Dr. Lopez-Gatell’s Twitter profile, an account that has over 1 million followers, isn’t a warning about the benefits of social distancing or widespread mask use. It’s a political statement about Mexico’s need prevent chronic illnesses by improving individual behaviors, promoting exercise, reducing tobacco use, and improving dietary habits.

There is little evidence in the data to support the narrative that these relatively young patients are dying because they are unhealthy. Nearly half of the 35 to 55-years-old patients confirmed to have died of Covid-19 in Mexico City (1171 out of the 2450) ARE NOT listed as having asthma, diabetes, or obesity. – Forbes

One question might be how well is the Mexican health system recording the pre-existing conditions of coronavirus patients.

Update October 2021: How Many People Died from Covid in 2020 and Sweden?

Here in Sweden, around 9400 people died of COVID in 2020, but the number tells us very little on its own. If we really want to know how bad the COVID pandemic was in 2020, then we need to look at the total number of people who died in 2020. If we do that, we see as mentioned that overall mortality was only marginally higher than would otherwise have been expected in 2020. What does that mean? It can only mean one thing that most of the people who died of COVID in 2020 would have died or something else in 2020 of COVID wasn’t around to kill them. – Why Most of What You Know About Covid is Wrong

The Overstatement of the Mortality in Sweden from Covid

As mentioned in the previous chapter, average mortality in Sweden in 2020 was only 5% higher than the average for the preceding five years after correcting for population size. We can clarify this difference by presenting it another way. In 2020 95% of Sweden’s population died which is less than one in 100 people. The average for the preceding five years is point 90 this point 90%. So the supposedly very dangerous pandemic resulted in the share of the population dying increasing from point nine D percent to point 95%. To me, this is clear evidence and COVID-19 is nowhere near as deadly as presented in the mainstream media.

Analysis by Professor John Ioannidis, an epidemiologist at Stanford University with his estimate of the COVID death rate. This analysis was Based on sero prevalence data, ie data on how many people were shown to have antibodies of COVID in their bloodstream at different times in different countries, which was correlated with a number of deaths in those countries, through this analysis professor, I own I own that IO. And this reached the conclusion that the COVID was an over has an overall mortality rate of around point two 3%. In other words, one in 434 infected people would die of the disease. For people under the age of 70, the mortality rate was estimated at point oh 5%. In other words, one in 2000, infected people under the age of 70 die from the disease. – Why Most of What You Know About Covid is Wrong

What is the Average Age of a Person Who Dies from Covid

The average person who dies from COVID is over 80 years old and has multiple underlying health conditions. In other words, their life expectancy is short, the average person who died in the 1918 pandemic was in their late 20s. So each death in the 1918 pandemic actually meant around 50 years more of life loss per person than each death in the COVID pandemic. – Why Most of What You Know About Covid is Wrong

Margin Excess Mortality in 2020

There is one final aspect of to all of this that needs to be discussed. As I mentioned earlier, excess mortality in 2020, was marginal. How can this be explained when so many people have died of COVID? As I see it, there are two possible explanations. The first is that a lot of people who died of COVID actually died with COVID. In other words, they had a positive COVID test, and were therefore characterized as COVID deaths when the actual cause of death was something else. And second is that most people who died of COVID were so old and so frail, and had so many underlying health conditions that even without COVID they would have been dead before the year was out. There are no other reasonable explanations. I’m not saying that COVID is nothing or that it doesn’t exist. I’m saying that it’s a disease with a marginal effect on longevity.

Half of Swedish COVID deaths happened in nursing homes, where median life expectancy is less than a year. If half of all people who died of COVID in Sweden would have been dead within a year even without COVID. That would mean that the other half who died would have had to have 20 plus years of life left in order for the average to end up being 12 years. Considering that the average age of those who died in COVID in Sweden is 84. While the average age of death in Sweden, more generally is 82. That seems extremely unlikely. – Why Most of What You Know About Covid is Wrong

The Average Amount of Lifetime Loss from Covid

Just looking at the data from what has actually happened in Sweden, it seems more likely that the average amount of time lifetime loss to COVID is very low a few years at most.

This information only reinforced what this article concluded in April of 2020.

Conclusion

Coronavirus is not killing people at random, and the concept that “anyone can die from Coronavirus” is a misrepresentation of the data on Coronavirus mortality. The news media is more interested in coming up with shocking words like “horrific” or “lockdown” than presenting an analytical explanation of the epidemiology of Coronavirus.

The mortality of Coronavirus is highly concentrated among those who are aged or have pre-existing conditions. These are not mutually exclusive as most of the aged have pre-existing conditions as physical function declines with age, and declines strongly in old age.

Knowing who is susceptible to dying from Coronavirus should be used in how to respond to the virus. For example, the most susceptible people could be quarantined, rather than the far more expensive option of restricting the activities of the larger population. But the only problem is that this article has only addressed mortality from the Coronavirus. Because so little is known about the long term effects of the Coronavirus, surviving could, and likely will lead to long term health or lowered functioning capabilities after one “recovers” from the virus. All of this is unknown, as is whether the ability of the body to repair the damage done by the Coronavirus.