Executive Summary This article addresses the area of how to track trends in investing. Introduction It is easy to see when there are bubbles, but very difficult to figure out when that bubble will burst. This article covers how to track this. On Trends From Monday’s TrendCompass report: On 23 October, Yale economics professor, Robert…
Executive Summary At the beginning of 2022, there are multiple real estate bubbles around the world. Introduction This article covers the 2022 real estate bubbles and will propose an investment strategy based on this analysis. Most Overpriced Global Property Markets Two of the top ones are Canada and Australia. Country #1: Australia Banks that are…
Executive Summary These are some of the investments I am looking at. Introduction This article covers some investment options being investigated. Ultrashort ETFs The content is that after a huge runup in stocks, that shorting specific overvalued parts of the market makes sense.
Executive Summary Humans pretend that they do their own thinking when it comes to decisions. However, in reality, they simply copy what those around them do. Introduction One of the frustrating things about investing is that the process is not logical. Frequently people will talk about “fundamentals”; however, what something is worth is not merely…
Executive Summary Backtesting software allows one to review and test how a strategy would have performed. Introduction Backtesting is testing a strategy against historical data. The concept is simple, however, in order to perform backtesting, it is necessary to use software. In this article, I will go over a few different applications. This article is…
Executive Summary Leveraged ETFs exaggerate the pattern of the underlying investment. We cover the common quotes that state this is not good for long-term investing. Introduction Leveraged ETFs allow an investor to make a bet on a trend that they have high confidence in. In the paper Leverage for the Long Run, there is an…
Executive Summary Leveraged ETFs exaggerate the pattern of the underlying investment. We cover the common quotes that state this is not good for long-term investing. Introduction Leveraged ETFs allow an investor to make a bet on a trend that they have high confidence in. However, the problem is that they cannot be held long-term, yet…
Executive Summary Regression to the mean is a statistical phenomenon that can be used for investing. Introduction Regression to the mean is generally not used by investors to made investment decisions. This is because people in general and investors tend to use have the recency bias as a far greater influencer on their decision making….
Executive Summary ETFs are advantageous for targeting specific areas in which to invest. Introduction We cover some of the important characteristics of ETFs. Understanding ETFs Currently, all three “shorts” are actually ETFs. Shorting is complicated and very much about timing. Once the date passes, the option (puts) expire and are worthless. The concept behind using…
Executive Summary Hindenburg Research has multiple reports on stocks that they short. We cover some of them in this article. Introduction Hindenburg Research shorts many stocks. They do some of the most thorough research into companies that they short. Ormat (Geothermal) Founded in 1965, Ormat has grown to one of the largest global producers of…