References

References for Brightwork Forecast Basics Articles

Executive Summary

  • These are the references that were used for our Forecast Basics articles.

Learn why so few entities in the IT space include references in their work. 

Introduction

This is the reference list for the Forecast Basics articles, as well as interesting quotes from these references at Brightwork Research & Analysis.

You can select the article title to be taken to the article.

Reference #1: Article Titled:

How Accurate is DDMRP’s Explanation of Forecasting?

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/forecasts-one-ddmrp-best-friends-david-villalobos/?trackingId=r%2FH7YGhNQr2%2Fm3vo1cy1DQ%3D%3D

*https://blog.camelot-group.com/2019/05/success-factors-for-ddmrp-in-a-constraint-manufacturing-environment-i/

*https://www.camelot-itlab.com/en/company/press-releases/press-articles/demand-driven-material-requirements-planning-ddmrp-the-new-paradigm-in-supply-chain-planning/

Reference #2: Article Titled:

How to Understand What is an Outlier in Forecasting

“The Business Forecasting Deal: Exposing Myths, Eliminating Bad Practices, Providing Practical Solutions,” Michael Gilliland, (Wiley and SAS Business Series), 2010

“The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable,” Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Random House, 2007

Demand Works Smoothie User Guide

*https://www.amazon.com/Black-Swan-Impact-Highly-Improbable/dp/1400063515

*https://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/30/science/30storm.html?_r=1

Reference #3: Article Titled:

How to Create a Forecast for Assemble to Order Planning

https://seekingalpha.com/article/36656-is-wal-mart-the-answer-to-dell-s-problems-not-likely

Reference #4: Article Titled:

How to Best Use Aggregated Planning in Demand and Supply Planning

“The Business Forecasting Deal: Exposing Myths, Eliminating Bad Practices, Providing Practical Solutions,” Michael Gilliland, (Wiley and SAS Business Series), 2010

https://www.linkedin.com/answers/business-operations/supply-chain-management/OPS_SCH/517226-45383580

Reference #5: Article Titled:

How to Best Understand the Naive Forecast

Gilleland, Michael, “Forecast Value Added Analysis,” Step-by-Step, SAS

*https://foresight.forecasters.org/product/foresight-issue-33/

Reference #6: Article Titled:

How to Best Understand Demand Forecasting

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demand_forecasting

Reference #7: Article Titled:

How to Best Understand Demand Sensing and Demand Shaping

*https://www.e2open.com/top-myths-around-demand-sensing/

*https://halobi.com/blog/how-does-demand-sensing-differ-from-forecasting-for-demand-planning/

*https://www.logility.com/blog/making-cents-out-of-demand-sensing/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demand_sensing

Reference #8: Article Titled:

What Can We Learn from Fake Forecasting on Wall Street?

“The Future of Everything: The Science of Prediction,” Dr. David Orrell, Basic Books, 2006

“The Fortune Sellers,” William A. Sheriden, John Wiley & Sons, 1998

The Business Forecasting Deal: Exposing Myths, Eliminating Bad Practices, Providing Practical Solutions,” Michael Gilliland, (Wiley and SAS Business Series), 2010

https://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424053111903366504576490841235575386.html

https://www.cepr.net/index.php/press-releases/press-releases/statement-on-the-sap-downgrade

Reference #9: Article Titled:

How to Understand Selecting the Wrong Forecasting Software

“Diffusion of Forecasting Principles Through Software,” Leonard J. Tashman, Jim Hoover, from Principles of Forecasting, Edited by J. Scott Armstrong, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston, 2001

Reference #9: Article Titled:

How to Understand Forecasting Lumpy Demand

https://docs.google.com/viewer?url=https://www.decisionsciences.org/Proceedings/DSI2008/docs/465-6531.pdf&pli=1

Promotions increase the lumpiness of demand when it is not accounted for in-demand history.