Search Results for: forecasting

… absolute lack of transparency in the IT analyst industry, companies keep buying these biased reports that fail to mention where vendor funding comes from. So, since not enough people are complaining, why follow normal research rules?
Bias Removal?
I analyze bias removal in Chapter 9 of the book Supply Chain Forecasting Software (a chapter dedicated to the study of bias). This was a fascinating area of study, partially because of the enormous discrepancy between the reality of bias and the interpretation of bias. Humans have so many areas of bias, including any perception or forecasting.[1] For instance, humans have …

… that make money from it, is simply untenable.
On repeated SAP projects I have found BW simply adds very little value. Reports take forever to develop, and it unsurprising because the BW Workbench is difficult to use and the overall design of the BW is extremely dated. I use a forecasting application to do exactly what the BW does for SAP DP, and I don’t have any of BW’s problems. This illustrates how dated BW is. So what you are proposing would not at all match with these observations, observations which I have collected over a decade …

… has had no input from any company’s marketing or sales department. 

Is Gartner Focused on Forecast Accuracy?
Many of the technology predictions I have read seem to have been designed to create a splash rather than stand the test of time. These are called “nuggets” and are explicitly designed to be picked up and repeated by vendors and consulting firms. The nugget is always positive, and Gartner designs the nugget to be repeatable, not to be accurate.
Gartner’s Error in Forecasting Windows Phone Market Share
One that sticks out as ludicrous was Gartner’s prediction that the …

… initiative has had the time to prove itself. For instance, Gartner has been a significant proponent of SAP Hana in my field.
Innovations in the Larger Vendors?
I have witnessed several innovations that no IT analyst firm has written about (I covered in the book Supply Chain Forecasting Software). After a large firm has copied the technology, I assume I will read about its greatness in a Gartner report, maybe five years from now. In any case, it’s far too early for Gartner to have jumped on the Hana bandwagon, as it is mostly still in development.
As …