Search Results for: forecasting

  • How to Deflect That You Were Wrong About HANA

    ByPrimary Researcher

    … If not, we would not have science. We would be more concerned about embarrassing people who were wrong and never make progress. To protect Stan’s face, we would continue to agree that the moon is made of green cheese.
    This is presently a big problem in IT and IT forecasting. I like to say that the only thing anyone is held accountable for regarding prediction is meeting their sales quota. Gartner has quite a poor accuracy level in their forecasts.

    They were responsible for priming the ERP bubble in the eighties.
    The marketplace bubble in the late nineties.
    They …

  • What is the Actual Performance of SAP HANA?

    ByPrimary Researcher

    … the importance of removing aggregates. For instance, if just two days of sales orders were reviewed, the company would receive a much more significant variation. However, the needs for instantly recalculated information are significantly overestimated in vendor marketing documentation and analytics vendor documentation in particular.
    The articles Monthly Versus Weekly Forecasting Buckets and Quarterly Versus Monthly Forecasting Buckets challenge a long-held belief that forecasting information must frequently be updated with the most recent sales history to obtain the highest forecast accuracy. This was testing with actual client data and from a client with a challenging forecast sales history. It …

  • The Secret to Marketing Against SAP

    ByPrimary Researcher

    … technical advice from consultants that work at SAP very highly. However, while consultants from SAP tend to be more knowledgeable about SAP products than consultants, they also lack objectivity and defend the products with completely ridiculous logic. SAP once told a client of mine that the reason they were having forecasting problems is that they have 60,000 SKU-Locations. That is interesting because 60,000 SKU-Locations is quite low, and SAP DP is currently being implemented at several clients with over 400,000 SKU-Locations.
    Other forecasting vendors I am aware of have over a million SKU-Location …

  • Analysis of Steve Lucas' Article on What Oracle Won't Tell You About HANA

    ByPrimary Researcher

    … this market because we rely on fact and figures, real performance and customer success.”
    So far, SAP has not won in the database market. SAP has picked up market share, but it dramatically lags Oracle12c 5 years later. Of course, it is not clear what time horizon Steve Lucas was forecasting. According to DB Engine, a website that tracks various databases’ popularity based on things like media mention, support tickets, etc..HANA is only the 19th most popular database in current usage. This is right around MariaDB and Hive.
    Furthermore, looking at the popularity value, Oracle is 28 times more …

  • How to Use the Brightwork Implementation Risk Ratings

    ByPrimary Researcher

    … – SAP APO PP/DS

    PlanetTogether MUFI Rating & Risk – PlanetTogether Galaxy APS Superplant

    Supply Planning

    Demand Works MUFI Rating & Risk – Demand Works Smoothie SP

    ToolsGroup MUFI Rating & Risk – ToolsGroup SO99 (Supply Planning)

    SAP MUFI Rating & Risk – SAP SmartOps

    SAP MUFI Rating & Risk – SAP SNP

    Demand Planning

    ToolsGroup MUFI Rating & Risk – ToolsGroup SO99 (Forecasting)

    JDA MUFI Rating & Risk – JDA Demand Management

    Demand Works MUFI Rating & Risk – Demand Works Smoothie

    Business Forecast Systems MUFI Rating & Risk – Forecast Pro TRAK

    Tableau MUFI Rating & Risk – Tableau (Forecasting)

    SAP MUFI Rating & Risk – SAP APO DP

    PLM

    Hamilton Grant MUFI Rating & Risk – Hamilton Grant Recipe Management …

  • How to Use the Brightwork Honest Vendor Ratings

    ByPrimary Researcher

    … the best forecasting application, and the best middleware etc.. And this does not even account for the dimension of the specific requirements from the customer side.
    One-stop shopping is a myth.
    Yet it continues to lead to terrible decision making. Currently, several large vendors that have virtually no cloud capability are getting customers to buy heavily marked up cloud services that they don’t even offer. To read about this problem, see the article SAP’s Upcharge as a Service, and Comparison of SAP HEC with Virtustream Versus AWS.
    The Consulting Companies
    The effect of consulting companies in …

  • Is IBP an Upgrade Over APO?: Updated Article

    ByPrimary Researcher

    … meeting, he may become interested in balancing supply and demand in a way that maximizes profits.”– Sales Operations Continues to Evolve
    First of all, we’ve already seen, in this publication, that financial forecasting is the final product generated by any S&OP application or spreadsheet. To declare that financial forecasting is performed in IBP, in the way written, implies that financial forecasting is not performed in S&OP. Unit forecasts are performed in the supply chain planning process, but the S&OP forecasting process always dollarizes the forecast. If someone does not know that about S&OP, it is …

  • SAP Expert Documentation Service

    ByPrimary Researcher

    … item. The Forecast Profile is a combination of a specific forecast model (e.g. trend, exponential smoothing, Holt, etc..) with a series of control parameters which control items such as how many previous periods are fed to the forecasting model, statistical forecast parameters, and other items which influence the behavior of the forecast model.
    The Forecast Profile Master List: This is the list of all assignments between the Forecast Profiles and the products. This list can be filtered in order to show all of the products that are assigned to a particular Forecast Profile.
    MAPE: Mean Absolute Percentage Error …

  • How to Best Understand The Limitations of MRP Based ERP Systems

    ByPrimary Researcher

    … description, as I did not intend to address all of it.
    Most APS systems augment ERP system functionality by providing forecasting, inventory planning, scheduling, and optimization tools not historically found in ERP systems. For example, APS systems can calculate optimal safety stocks, create detailed schedules and do not exceed available capacity (finite scheduling), and find the near-optimal assignments of products to plants. In contrast, traditional ERP systems were fundamentally transaction-processing systems that implemented user-defined safety stocks, created plans that regularly exceeded available capacity (infinite loading), and did not optimize anything (sub-quote 1). 
    The promise of …

  • How to Understand If SAP’s Relentless HANA Push Paid Off?

    ByPrimary Researcher

    … servers and cores is not supported for planning use cases. No doubt it will take time for the newest of the CPM products to mature and stabilize, especially from a company unfamiliar with the cloud. There is no confirmation that SAP will take on the enormous effort to re-architect for multitenancy, the speed of planning changes, and horizontal scaling.
    ..SAP Cloud for Planning, has had difficulties addressing large enterprise needs due to insufficient modeling capabilities. Even smaller companies have challenging modeling needs due to their industry-specific revenue modeling requirements, the use of driver based forecasting and “what …